Wednesday, June 2, 2010

The Clouds of War: Why the Flotilla Crisis is a Distraction

There has been a good deal of discussion at most patriot and conservative sites about political solutions to our present crisis. Discussions involve the upcoming elections and possible moves to impeach the president. Meanwhile, generally, much discussion along the political spectrum has been about the Israeli commando raid on one of six ships in a flotilla that was aiming to run and break the Israeli blockade of Gaza. There is much outrage on the left, where nobody mentions the Egyptians have a blockade of Gaza as well, and for the same reasons: Gaza was forcibly taken over two years ago by the Islamist terrorist organization Hamas, which has dedicated itself to the cause of destroying Medinat Yisrael, the State of Israel. Hamas--they're not the kind of people you want living next door to you. The Egyptians know that as well as the Israeli's do.

I believe the flotilla that was boarded and towed, as well as the ones now on the way to run the blockade, are mere distractions perpetrated mostly by useful idiots while Iran and Syria prepare for war. Here is my contribution to a discussion that mostly consisted of political responses to an article about the video 33 Minutes: Protecting America in the New Missile Age. (You can view trailers here).

My response:

This discussion has gone for the most part toward poltical solutions such as marches and impeachment.
These are important discussions in their own right and for all the reasons (and more) that have been brought up.

We also need to be thinking about preparations, and a few people have mentioned food insurance.
Ladies and gentlemen, we are headed for war. This summer.
Iran has promised to wipe Israel off the map, and the United States is depicted by Achmadinajad as an even greater evil to be destroyed.

The present "Flotilla Crisis" is most likely a distraction to keep the world busy while the real war is planned.
Consider this interview with a retired American general put out by PJTV on May 6:
Former US General Warns of Chemical Attack Against Israel

In the interview at PJTV, this general says that he fully expects Achmadinajad to attack Israel and from a container ship, attack the United States with nukes.

Then consider the news from the UN--the new Mid-East Non-Proliferation Treaty. CNN is hailing it as "multi-lateral" missing the fact that Israel is named, but Iran is not considered a nuclear power. Israel rejected the NPT, but named Israel and not Iran singles Israel out for condemnation:

From Jewish Telegraphic Agency (English Language):

"Israel rejected the final document of a United Nations review conference on the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, saying that by singling out Israel it "ignores the realities of the Middle East."
The monthlong conference ended last Friday. The conference's final resolution called for a conference on establishing a nuclear-free Middle East to take place in 2012. It also called on Israel, which has never confirmed or denied that it has a nuclear weapons arsenal, to sign on to the treaty and allow the United Nations nuclear watchdog group to inspect its facilities. Iran was not mentioned in the resolution."

Finally, on Monday it was confirmed that Iran has the ability now has enough enriched uranium to make two warheads. Here is the Fox News report, but the news is everywhere:

"VIENNA (AP) — Iran has amassed more than two tons of enriched uranium, the U.N. atomic agency said Monday in a report that heightened Western concerns about the country developing the ability to produce a nuclear weapon.
Two tons of uranium would be enough for two nuclear warheads, although Iran says it does not want weapons and is only pursuing civilian nuclear energy.
The U.S. and the four other permanent U.N. Security Council members — Russia, China, Britain and France — have tentatively backed a draft fourth set of U.N. sanctions against Iran over its refusal to stop enriching uranium."

And consider this, from Fox News yesterday:

"Things in Middle East are quickly spiraling out of control. The Palestinians want to import weapons from Iran, to stockpile for the next war with Israel, but are prevented from doing so by the Israeli naval blockade. They realize they can’t stop the Israelis militarily, so they’ve turned to the world court of public opinion. . .
. . .The next few ships to challenge the blockade will likely be filled with more children’s toys and baby formula. But once the blockade is broken, those ships will be filled with missiles, weapons and ammunition bound for Hezbollah and Hamas. . .
. . . Meanwhile, the clouds of war are gathering."

Like Chamberlain, Barack Hussein Obama refuses to believe what Achmadinajad has been saying over and over. But unlike Chamberlain, I believe that Obama knows full well what he is doing. And by the time we got to congressional hearings on impeachment, they might well be taking place by candlelight.

Save those tin-foil hats, fellow patriots. The thing is spinning out of control. Remember what General Vallely said. We may need that foil to make Faraday Cages for our sensitive electronics.

Remember Glenn Beck's interview with Binyamin Netanyahu in 2006?

Many people ridiculed both Beck and Netanyahu for saying that Achmadinajad sees himself as the harbinger of the 12th Iman, who wishes to destroy Israel and the United States.

Given the news in the past month, I think the time for ridicule is over.


Gershon said...

I think Israel remains our best friend anywhere. They have done us the favor of testing several of our weapons and improved them. Notably the F20 which greatly embarassed the USSR and their pilots. I feel we should help Israel with as much material and personnel as they request, but I will not vote, since I am biased.
Fox has their physics wrong. The critical mass of 100% U(235) is about 2 pounds (I do not have access to classified information) so a bomb will take a lot more enrichment. I have seen the shell intended for a weapon that was slightly out of spec. About the size of a softball. I do not know how much of the interior would be uranium. Uranium has a density of about 20, so the softball could weigh as much as 20 kg, but most likely much less. Yes, it would fit in a sachel, but the carrier would be a bit lop-sided. And he would want to avoid counters.
A bomb is disgustingly easy to build, once the uraniium is in hand. I was a sophomore in college when I discovered the physics, which is now common knowledge. The device I proposed would have worked (the fat boy design). I understand a student at MIT acquired the materials. I believe the software and data to compute the critical mass and to verify a design is available to a determined person. A PC would be enough.
As far fear or another war:. Predicting the future is always dangerous. But if one looks at history more wars are as certain as the sun rising. It has done so for a very long time. The only question about the next war is when.
Thank you for your work. Alas, I am too old to help much.
Shalom, earl

Elisheva Hannah Levin said...

Gershon: the information about two nuclear weapons is not from Fox, but from the IAEA. Here is the report published in Nature (Policy):

"Nuclear agreement: An international conference in New York to review the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty has reaffirmed nations' commitments to disarmament and halting the spread of weapons technology. On 28 May, after almost a month of negotiations, 189 nations, including Iran, endorsed a 28-page consensus document, which also called for a nuclear-weapons-free zone in the Middle East and global ratification of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty. Just three days later, the International Atomic Energy Agency, based in Vienna, reported that Iran now has enough low-enriched uranium to convert into weapons-grade material for two nuclear weapons."

Thanks for the comment. Come talk again.

Brig Young said...

For my part there is no need to debate the exact quantities of U235 or the simplicity of the gun design, or the spherical design for that matter. It is well within their capability to build a weapon at this point. The media makes it sound terribly esoteric but in fact these weapon are rather simple by the standards of Today's technology. The hard part is getting sufficient U235, the scary part is that Iran no doubt has enough to kill millions in Israel, the US, and Europe...

I once looked into this ackmenadadoojid fellow and he is very creepy, he likes the Mahdi prophecy, I got that loud and clear.